Thursday Night Football
12/5 Pittsburgh Steelers +7 vs 5/14 New England Patriots -7 O/U 51.5
The New England Patriots kick off the 2015 Season when Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers come to Beantown this Thursday Night. The Patriots seem primed to go off like the fourth of July now that playing football is the only thing they have to worry about. The price is short @ 5/14 however Brady has a lifetime Passer Rating of 110 vs. the Steelers putting up a 151.8 mark last time out. The Patriots are missing a tall, lanky WR, a role presently filled by LaFell who is injured along with Tyms who is out for the year. The Steelers are not the same team when Levion Bell is missing (both he and Patriot back Blount are suspended for smoking pot together when they were both with Pittsburgh last year). The over 51.5 looks tempting, but the Patriots don’t score as many points in September than they do over the balance of the season while McDaniels and Belichick tinker with the roster. New England is 15-1 at home the past two seasons with the lone loss coming while they rested their starters the final game of the 2014 season for their Super Bowl run. The straight win bet is the only way to play this one.
Selection: New England Patriots @ 5/14 for 3 units
Sunday’s Games
31/20 Cleveland Browns +3 vs 4/7 New York Jets -3 O/U 40.0
It is hard to believe that a team that went 4-12 last year and just lost its quarterback for being such a goof one of his own (now former) teammates broke his jaw is favored but such is the lack of confidence in all things Cleveland. We cannot see a reason to bet either team. Pass.
Selection: None
1/3 Green Bay Packers -7 vs 5/2 Chicago Bears + 7 O/U 50.0
John Fox is good but no one is good enough to beat the Packers with the Bears current defence. The price of 1/3 is rather generous all things considered. Try not to overthink this one and stay away from the spread and the O/U
Selection: Green Bay Packers @ 1/3 for 3 units
10/11 Kansas City Chiefs +1 vs 5/6 Houston Texans -1 O/U 41.0
We expect that the Texans will have a better chance of giving up less points than the Chiefs based on the match up. Brian Hoyer has played both better and worse than Alex Smith at times but the Texans should be stout enough against the run and able to shut down lone WR threat Maclin. We like Houston in a low scoring affair.
Selection: Houston Texans @ 5/6 for 1 unit and Under 41 points for 1 unit
10/19 Miami Dolphins -3.5 vs 33/20 Washington Redskins + 3.5 O/U 43
It is hard to trust the Dolphins on the road at any time and Kirk Cousins always tends to play well in his first start. Nevertheless, we cannot recommend betting real money on Washington however we are pretty confident in the Over.
Selection: Over 43 points for 1 unit
20/33 Carolina Panthers -3 vs 29/20 Jacksonville Jaguars +3 O/U 41
It is hard to bet Jacksonville at any time however the Panthers seem to lack scoring power. Another game that is best left alone entirely.
Selection: None
1/2 Seattle Seahawks -4 vs 17/10 St. Louis Rams +4 O/U 41
Would love to see the Rams win this one but wouldn't bet on it. We can see both teams struggling to find the end zone and are pretty confident with the Under 41
Selection: Under 41 points for 2 units
5/7 Indianapolis Colts -2.5 vs 6/5 Buffalo Bills +2.5 O/U 46
Was expecting the Bills to get off to a good start until Rex Ryan thought (never a good idea) and replaced Cassel with Car Part. Another one to avoid picking a winner however points will be harder to come by than most think so go with the Under
Selection: Under 46 points for 2 units
13/10 Detroit Lions +3 vs 4/6 San Diego Chargers -3 O/U 45.5
The Chargers are not yet all banged up and are playing an inferior squad at home so 4/6 is a pretty good price all considered however this is exactly the kind of game San Diego too frequently loses for no apparent reason.
Selection: None
23/20 New Orleans Saints + 2.5 vs 20/27 Arizona Cardinals -2.5 O/U 48
Arizona should get off to a fast start as long as Palmer holds up and should have little trouble scoring enough points to win against a very poor defensive scheme. We like the triple.
Selection: Arizona Cardinals @ 20/27 for 1 unit, Arizona Cardinals -2.5 for 1 unit and Over 48 points for 1 unit
9/5 Baltimore Ravens +4.5 vs 5/11 Denver Broncos -4.5 O/U 49
The Ravens are all too familiar to Kubiak's offence from last year so should have a pretty good idea how to stop it. One of many disappointing surprises to Bronco fans and 9/5 is a great price. Bet with both hands.
Selection: Baltimore Ravens @ 9/5 for 2 units, Baltimore Ravens +4.5 for 2 units
Tennessee Titans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The two worst teams from last year square off sporting their brand new quarterbacks. Sit back and count the interceptions but don’t put any money on it..
Selection: None
20/33 Cincinnati Bengals -3 vs 29/20 Oakland Raiders +3 O/U 43
The Raiders have looked good up to here but now they are using live ammo. Probably best to just watch this one and see if they are for real.
Selection: None
21/10 New York Giants +6 vs 2/5 Dallas Cowboys -6 O/U 51.5
This one may not go all Cowboys but the Giants don't seem to have much going right on defence. Definitely take a pass.
Selection: None
Monday Night Football
20/31 Philadelphia Eagles -3 vs 27/20 Atlanta Falcons +3 O/U 55.0
The Eagles are expected to score early and often against a Falcon defence that hasn't been very good for a while. We like 20/31 on Chip's lads, believe they can spare the three in a high scoring affair.
Selection: Philadelphia Eagles @ 20/31 for 2 units, Philadelphia Eagles -3 for 2 units and Over 55 points for 2 units
5/7 Minnesota Vikings -2.5 vs 6/5 San Francisco 49ers +2.5 O/U 41.5
There are way too many unknowns to make a skilful play on this game. If you must bet, take the under and hope that Peterson is rusty.
Selection: Under 41.5 points for 1 unit
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