Showing posts with label NFL Picks Week 11. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NFL Picks Week 11. Show all posts

Sunday, November 19, 2017

The NFL in the Moment – Sunday – 11.45am EST – Week Eleven 2017

Well. If you are still betting you must still have money. I’ve been working a day job so I don’t have the time to spend 40 hours per week doing this. We did have a good run there.

***UPDATE*** Danny Trevathan is OUT for the Bears

Week Eleven are the final Bye Weeks for 2017, three of the four going to last place teams from 2016 (Jets, Panthers, 49ers and Colts), whatever that means. Cam Newton is involved, so it means something. Here are the games we are betting, and coincidentally (not really) watching in order:

1pm EST TV – FOX – 21/20 Los Angeles Rams   @   4/5 Minnesota Vikings
Bullish Spread:  Minnesota Vikings    -7.0   @   7/4
Bearish Spread: Minnesota Vikings   +3.5   @   2/5

4.25pm EST TV – CBS – 5/16 New England Patriots   @   13/5 Oakland Raiders
Bullish Spread:  New England Patriots     -13.0   @   7/4
Bearish Spread: New England Patriots     Not Offered

Other Games of Interest

13/4 Washington Redskins   @   2/9 New Orleans Saints  
The odds on this game are not correct. Washington can play with any team in the NFC and should not be 13/4 while the Saints seem to have everyone under some type of WhoDoo that VooDoo spell.

21/20 Atlanta Falcons   @   4/5 Seattle Seahawks
The injury to Kam Chancellor is very unfortunate for Seattle however it plays right into Atlanta’s hand, much like last weeks injuries to Sean Lee and the Cowboys Left Tackle.

10/17 Detroit Lions   @   6/4 Chicago Bears
If Danny Trevathan is starting for Chicago we will bet them. He is as important to Chicago as Sean Lee is to Dallas etc.

4/5 Baltimore Ravens   @   21/20 Green Bay Packers
13/5 Buffalo Bills   @   5/16 Los Angeles Chargers 
The real NFL schedule starts around now. Rosters are set. Looking at the AFC and the schedules of the potential Wild Card teams, despite their apparent struggles, the Ravens are in the driver’s seat so long as they win the games they are supposed to. The Bills could be a Wild Card in the Wild Card race. Most “experts” are at a loss for words concerning the Buffalo situation. We aren’t. CarPart stinks. He never does anything bad. He never does anything good. In short, he never does anything, which is precisely the problem. McDermott needs to beat Tom Brady, not go 8-8, and he knows he’s not beating Tom Brady with Taylor. Opponents the Packers and Chargers had high hopes coming into the season. Hundley will be trying to hold the fort for Aaron Rodgers while Flacco is fighting for his playoff life. Peterman makes his first start in Los Angeles where Philip Rivers is slipping. The attractive price on the Bills?

6/5 Cincinnati Bengals   @   5/7 Denver Broncos
Neither team is out of the Wild Card race mathematically, nor are their schedules too demanding. If Brock Osweiler can play just a little bit better than he did against the Patriots, Denver could win their next five games to sit 8-6 going into Week Sixteen. Cincinnati’s schedule is more demanding, but not impossible.

2/9 Kansas City Chiefs   @   13/4 New York Giants
One must remember just how close the talent level amongst NFL teams is before writing off this game to the Chiefs. There is no reason that the Giants can’t win this game.  Always remember that any team can win any game.

6/5 Arizona Cardinals   @   5/7 Houston Texans
After all the drama, Arizona is only one game out of the hotly contested NFC Wild Card race. Blaine Gabbert is one of the better third string Quarterbacks. Adrian Peterson cold be the difference here.

Other Games
2/7 Jacksonville Jaguars   @   11/4 Cleveland Browns      
10/13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers   @   11/10 Miami Dolphins
                   




The NFL in the Moment – Sunday – 10am EDT – Week Eleven 2017

We have been away for a while. To catch you up real quick:

We essentially did not report for weeks Eight, Nine and Ten and never recapped Week Seven. The Bears made the day for us Week Seven, coming thru at 5/2 coupled with the Patriots dismantling of the Falcons. We also won on the Vikings (over the Ravens) and the Eagles (over Washington) for a third straight good week.

Week Eight was not so good, starting with our Ravens getting shut out 40-zip. We did win on New England, but Washington and Denver let us down. Fortunately, the damage was minimal.

We did not like the card of games for Week Nine. No Patriots, Bears, Steelers or Vikings games due to byes. We played the Jets and Redskins but managed to lose back our profits on forgettable bets.

Week Ten was similar, however, we looked at Week Eleven with hope as the Eagles and Raiders were on bye weeks. We gave ten and one-half points to get the Patriots at a decent price in Denver and were all over the Vikings. The Colts and Chargers stabbed us in the heart as both lost games they should have won. The Chargers were especially bad. We ended the weekend with a profit, but it was highly unsatisfying.

And now, on to the bitter end...