Saturday, October 5, 2013

NFL Week 5 Selections by NFL Buddha - Money Line Fluctuations

There have been more shifts than usual this week in the Money Line for Week 5 in the NFL. Here are the new lines that NFL Buddha is aware of:

Selection Summary (with Money Line and Spread Shifts)

Primary
1) 10/06/13 - (12/5) Detroit (+6.5) AT (1/2) Green Bay (-6.5)
Selection:  (12/5) Detroit Lions (+6.5) 
New Line: (13/5) Detroit (+7.0) AT (5/16) Green Bay (-7.0)

Secondary 
2) 10/06/13 - (10/11) New Orleans (+1.5) AT (10/11) Chicago (-1.5)
Selection:  (10/11) New Orleans Saints (+1.5)

2) 10/06/13 - (1/1) New England (+1.5) AT (5/6) Cincinnati (-1.5)
Selection:  (1/1) New England Patriots (+1.5)
New Line: (10/11) New England (Scr) AT (10/11) Cincinnati (Scr)

Tertiary 
3) 10/06/13 - (5/7) Seattle (-2.5) AT (6/5) Indianapolis (+2.5)
Selection:  (6/5) Indianapolis Colts (+2.5)

3) 10/06/13 - (1/3) Denver (-7.0) AT (5/2) Dallas (+7.0)
Selection:  (5/2) Dallas Cowboys (+7.0)
New Line: (2/7) Denver (-6.5) AT (11/4) Dallas (+6.5)

3) 10/06/13 - (12/5) Houston (+6.5) AT (5/14) San Francisco (-6.5)
Selection:  (12/5) Houston Texans (+6.5)
New Line: (21/10) Houston (+6.0) AT (2/5) San Francisco (-6.0)

Other 
10/03/13 - (17/10) Buffalo (+4.0) AT (1/2) Cleveland (-4.0)
Selection:  (1/2) Cleveland Browns (-4.0)
Winner:  (1/2) Cleveland Browns (-4.0) by 7

10/06/13 - (1/2) San Diego (-4.0) AT (17/10) Oakland (+4.0)
Selection:  (1/2) San Diego Chargers (-4.0)
New Line: (5/11) San Diego (-5.0) AT (9/5) Oakland (+5.0)

10/06/13 - (20/29) Kansas City (-2.5) AT (5/4) Tennessee (+2.5)
Selection:  (20/29) Kansas City Chiefs (-2.5)
New Line: (20/27) Kansas City (-2.5) AT (23/20) Tennessee (+2.5)

10/06/13 - (10/13) Carolina (-2.0) AT (11/10) Arizona (+2.0)
Selection:  (10/13) Carolina Panthers (-2.0)
New Line: (5/6) Carolina (-1.5) AT (1/1) Arizona (+1.5)

Longshot
10/07/13 - (7/2) New York (+9.0) AT (2/9) Atlanta (-9.0)
Selection:  (7/2) New York Jets (+9.0)
New Line: (7/2) New York (+10.0) AT (2/9) Atlanta (-10.0)

Games to Avoid
10/06/13 - (9/2) Jacksonville (+11.0) AT (1/6) St. Louis (-11.0)
New Line: (9/2) Jacksonville (+11.5) AT (1/6) St. Louis (-11.5)

10/06/13 - (13/10) Baltimore (+3.0) AT (4/6) Miami (-3.0)

10/06/13 - (11/10) Philadelphia (+2.0) AT (10/13) New York  Giants (-2.0)
New Line - (1/1) Philadelphia (+1.0) AT (5/6) New York  Giants (-1.0)


The new lines do not affect the viability or rankings of our selections at this point, they merely make most of them fractionally less rewarding which is significant over time as well as for very large wagers. NFL Buddha hit New England and New Orleans hard early to lock in the price. We have not updated the lines in the commentary section as that would be redundant. Spread shifts that could have a bearing on the outcome, although we do not anticipate them doing so, are the Jets now getting a TD and FG from Atlanta,  Houston only getting 2 FG's from San Fran, Dallas only getting 6.5 from the Broncos instead of a full 7 points, New England of course getting nothing from the Bengals and the Lions now getting a full 7 point from the Pack. Have a Skilful Sunday!

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