The NFL at this moment - Week Five - 2015

Sunday's Games

7/5 Seattle Seahawks +3.0   @   5/8 Cincinnati Bengals -3.0   O/U   43.0

The Seattle Seahawks would be 1-3 if the officials would have done their Job in the Lions game. Russell Wilson is not a very good quarterback while the Bengals have a much better defense than the Lions. Hard to see any way Seattle wins this one.

Selection: Cincinnati @ 5/8 for 8 Units/Cincinnati -3.0 for 8 Units/16

7/2 St. Louis Rams +9.0   @   1/5 Green Bay Packers -9.0   O/U   46.0

The Green Bay Packers look all but unbeatable this season, especially at home, however only the 2007 Patriots have gotten through a 16 game regular season without losing at least one game. The St. Louis Rams meet the fourth playoff team from last year in five weeks in Green Bay and are 2-1 against them so far (they also lost to the Redskins somehow). If any pass rush is going to rattle Rodgers it will be this one. After winning for us at 5/2 last week we’re taking the Rams again

Selection: St. Louis @ 7/2 for 5 units/ 7/2 St. Louis +9.0 for 5 units/10

6/4 Jacksonville Jaguars +3.0   @   10/17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.0   O/U   42.5

It is hard to tell how the young Jaguars are going to respond after the kicker cost them a road win in Indy and a share of first place. Tampa meanwhile doesn’t seem to have the horses to attack, Winston is too erratic, or defend and will be picking high again next year. If you bet Jacksonville last week, and we did, you have to give them a chance to redeem themselves (although they did not sign a new kicker this week) when they are at-odds against a team like Tampa.

Selection:  Jacksonville @ 6/4 for 10 units/Jacksonville +3.0 for 10 units/20

5/2 Cleveland Browns +6.5   @   1/3 Baltimore Ravens -6.5   O/U   43.5

The basement dwellers of the AFC North meet in Baltimore where Joe Flacco’s only weapon (Steve Smith) broke parts of his back and is unlikely to be back. The Browns meanwhile lost a tough one in San Diego last week. This is the year of the injury in Baltimore and it is easy to picture Cleveland winning a rare road game.

Selection: Cleveland @ 5/2 for 2 Units/ Cleveland +6.5 for 2 Units/16

13/5 Washington Redskins +7.0   @   5/16 Atlanta Falcons -7.0   O/U   48.0

Washington is coming off of a win over the Eagles while the Falcons are 4-0 coming off wins over Dallas (Brandon Weeden version) and the Texans. All of which tells us exactly nothing. The Falcons certainly have the most polished offence but are they for real on defence or is Dan Quinn using gimmicks that can be seen through? Three (3) of the Falcons four (4) wins have come against the NFC East as they attempt to sweep the division in this one. The Redskin defence has been giving up fewer points but did give up 32 to the Giants. If you, like us, question the quality of Atlanta and believe that Kirk Cousins has a future as an NFL Quarterback then at these odds the Redskins are worth a small wager.

Selection:   Washington @ 13/5 for 2 Units/Washington +7.0 for 2 Units/4

13/4 Chicago Bears +9.0   @   2/9 Kansas City Chiefs -9.0   O/U   45.5

Just when you thought the Bears were going into hibernation Cutler (surprisingly) makes the start and beats the Raiders. Kansas City meanwhile is also 1-3 but because the losses have come against Green Bay, Denver and Cincinnati everyone is giving them the benefit of the doubt. Although we don't normally recommend betting on Jay Cutler, Alex Smith is too predictable and John Fox is a heck of a defensive mind. Don’t know that the Bears can win in KC but they should cover.

Selection:  Chicago Bears +9.0 for 3 units/3

1/4 New England Patriots -8.5   @   3/1 Dallas Cowboys +8.5   O/U   49.5

Although 1/4 is too short of a price to take it sure is tempting. The Patriots are operating at an incredibly high level for a team with new personnel at RB, OLine, WR, DLine and where Devon McCourty is the only person playing the same role he did last year in the secondary. It is highly unlikely that Brandon Weeden will have much success against New England’s ball hawk DB’s whereas Brady will dice and slice the Cowboys defence and have the ball out of his hands before Greg Hardy can get anywhere near close to him.

Selection:  New England Patriots -8.5 for 8 units/8

5/11 Denver Broncos -4.5   @   9/5 Oakland Raiders +4.5   O/U   43.5

The betting so far this week has the price on the Raiders dropping and the spread down one. The question here is whether the Raiders young offence can do anything against Denver’s solid cast of veterans when the season is still young and they aren’t too badly injured. This could be a very low scoring affair so the bet here is take the Under

Selection: Under 43.5 points for 8 units

Monday Night Football

6/4 Pittsburgh Steelers +3.0   @   10/17 San Diego Chargers -3.0   O/U   44.5

Michael Vick played well enough in his first start to beat the Ravens but got killed by the place kicker (who is now out of the league) while Rivers unleashed a furious drive to overcome the Browns last week at home. It doesn’t get any easier for the Steelers with ARI, KC and CIN coming up so they have to win this one to try and not lose any more ground on the Bengals then again the same could said about the Chargers staying with Denver. Two good teams hence the three point spread so take the odds and the points in what should be a fun game to watch.

Selection:  Pittsburgh @ 6/4 for 8 units/Pittsburgh -8.5 for 8 units/16

9/5 New Orleans Saints +5   @   5/11 Philadelphia Eagles -5   O/U   49.0

New Orleans played well against a decent Cowboy line-up despite the injuries to Romo and Bryant as Brandon Weeden even drove (for the first time since Cleveland and perhaps ever) the field for a fourth quarter score. The Eagles meanwhile have been inconsistent if not incomprehensible. There is no way to bet Philadelphia at those odds while betting on a Rob Ryan run defence is never a good idea.

Selection:  None

10/17 Buffalo Bills -3.0   @   6/4 Tennessee Titans +3.0   O/U   42.5

The Bills continue to get bet and continue to burn up that money. Car Part could not get anything going against the Giants last week at the Ralph but is expect to outgun New Kid Marcus in Nashville. Although we cannot recommend betting on a Ken Wisenhunt coached team the Titans would be the play if we did.

Selection:  None

20/29 Arizona Cardinals -2.5   @   5/4 Detroit Lions +2.5   O/U   45.0

Detroit did enough to beat the Seahawks last week yet sit at 0-4 while Arizona lost at home to the giant killer St. Louis Rams after beating up on teams that started off the season very poorly. The game may come down to whether Detroit’s injured defenders (Haloti Ngata and Co.) play or stay away. Too tough to call.

Selection:  None

Sunday Night Football

12/5 San Francisco 49ers +7.0   @   5/14 New York Giants -7.0   O/U   43.0

The San Francisco team has not looked very good for three straight weeks while the Giants may be getting over bet because of their win over the Buffalo Bills. This is not a good game to bet.

Selection:  None

Thursday Night Football

2/1 Indianapolis Colts +5.0   @   5/12 Houston Texans -5.0   O/U   41.0

The Colts visit the Texans sitting alone atop the AFC South at 2-2 however if Jacksonville had a proper placekicker or Tennessee a proper coach they would be 0-4. The Texans meanwhile actually are 0-3 having beaten only the lowly Tampa Bay Bucs. Andrew Luck is expected to play for the Colts while Mallett will start for the Texans. Bet the team that is not favored if you must but pass on the game if you can as anything could happen in this game.

Selection:  None