Saturday, October 14, 2017

The NFL in the Moment – Saturday – 9.30pm EDT – Week Six 2017

The pertinent facts in this moment…

11/2 Miami Dolphins   @   1/8 Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons are not a very good team. They should have lost to Chicago and Detroit and there was a lot of nonsense at the end of the first half vs Green Bay concerning rub routes at the end of the first half. Matt Ryan was a bogus MVP. Miami has a lot of the parts on Defence. Jay Cutler can play every bit as well as Matt Ryan. Thee teams are about the same. The odds are way out of whack. Atlanta should be a mild favorite at home. We bet Miami.

9/5 Detroit Lions   @   5/11 New Orleans Saints
These teams are also very close. The Saints probably have a slight edge and are at home, but 5/11 is too strong of a favorite for us to bet them.

4/1 San Francisco 49ers   @   1/6 Washington Redskins  
No one knows the effect of Washington losing Josh Norman and their Defence may have already been playing over their heads. 1/6 is far too short a price.

2/9 New England Patriots   @   13/4 New York Jets
Todd Bowles is 1-1 vs Belichick in New York, and that was with Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Jets are gaining confidence, McCown is a much better Quarterback than he gets credit for and the Jets Offence is developing an identity. The Patriot’s Defence is a shambles, their Offensive Line is leaky, Edelman is missing while Brady and Gronk will be playing hurt. New England misses Blount more than anyone realizes. You’d have to be crazy to take 2/9. We bet the Jets.

13/4 Cleveland Browns   @   2/9 Houston Texans  
Even though we are almost positive that Cleveland is trying to lose, nope.

12/5 Chicago Bears   @   5/14 Baltimore Ravens    
The Bears get Trevathan back and Kyle Long most probably. Chicago is not getting enough credit for hanging in with the Vikings while Baltimore is getting way too much credit for beating the Raiders. This is another game that could go either way, yet the odds differential is huge. We bet the Bears.

6/10 Green Bay Packers   @   7/5 Minnesota Vikings       
At least we understand the odds here. The Packers are getting too much credit for beating a bad Dallas squad while Bradford and Diggs are out for Minnesota. We thought that the performances of Stevan Ridley and Michael Floyd will determine the outcome, not Case Keenum. As long as Keenum continues to play within himself and doesn’t turn the ball over against yet another weak secondary. Minnesota’s Defensive Superiority should offset the drop off from Rodgers to Keenum. The game Shurmur calls needs to be run-heavy up the middle will the ball sprayed around to Treadwell, Floyd, and Thielen. Releasing Ridley because of one good game by McKinnon is just plain stupid, like most Vikings personnel decisions on Offence. We bet the Vikings.

23/20 Los Angeles Rams   @   20/27 Jacksonville Jaguars
The odds are right. Good Luck!!!

4/5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers   @   21/20 Arizona Cardinals
Tampa remains overrated. Maybe Adrian Peterson makes a huge difference in Arizona. Nothing to bet here.

7/4 Pittsburgh Steelers   @   10/21 Kansas City Chiefs    
We aren’t buying what the Chiefs are selling and believe they are the most overrated team in the AFC. We got 9/5 when betting the Steelers earlier this week.

33/20 Los Angeles Chargers   @   10/19 Oakland Raiders
We thought the Chargers were the better team going into the season and nothing has happened to change that evaluation. The Wild Fires are a Wild Card so we haven’t bet the Chargers yet.

4/1 New York Giants   @   1/6 Denver Broncos
We don’t bet big favorites but if we did we’d bet Denver.

Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
If Mariota plays and the Titans are favored, we will probably bet on the Colts



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